Kyle Nelson
Steadily improving every year since arriving at Miami, center Dwayne Collins has established himself as a reliable presence in the ACC. Now that the ACC schedule is winding down and the post-season is rapidly approaching, Collins must take advantage of opportunities to show scouts that he is worth a look in the second round.
At 68 with a chiseled 232-pound frame, Collins has adequate height for an NBA power forward, but is severely undersized for his natural position of center. He is able to compensate somewhat with a tremendous wingspan (rumored to be 73), terrific frame and solid athleticism. Though he does not possess elite explosiveness or quickness, he is clearly above average and has the length and aggressiveness to compete at the next level.
On the offensive end, Collins has progressed slowly throughout his time at Miami, even if he still has a raw post game. He shows average footwork but looks more comfortable receiving the ball with his back to the basket these days, able to resort to a drop-step, a variety of hook shots, and even, at times, a turnaround jump shot. He is shooting a spectacular 60.4% from the field, which ranks him tenth among prospects in our database. This is indicative of the excellent position hes often able to establish around the basket, as well as his very good finishing ability. Similarly, he continues to get to the line at a nice rate, averaging 8.9 free throw attempts per 40 minutes pace adjusted and ranking in the top 20 of our database in free throw attempts per possession, even if he shoots just 56.9% from the line.
Being on a team without a true point guard has not helped his progress, but his high level of activity and aggressiveness on the offensive glass has helped him find scoring opportunities. He ranks tenth among prospects in our database in offensive rebounds per 40 minutes pace adjusted, and has the motor and wingspan to suggest that he can translate this ability to the next level. As we have written before, scouts like to see such hustle from undersized collegiate post prospects.
The problem will Collins remains his inconsistency from game to game, as well as his very high turnover rate. Hes a fairly mechanical offensive player, and thus has problems creating shots for himself if he cant simply overpower his matchup. Improving his ability to put the ball on the deck, particularly with his left hand, would help tremendously, but he also needs to work on developing counter moves and utilizing fakes more effectively. Collins basketball IQ appears to be just average, as he makes some questionable decisions from time to time.
As we have written before, he must also work on elevating more in the paint in order to more effectively utilize his length and score against taller and more athletic defenders. Projecting his offensive game to the next level, his ceiling remains limited, and its unlikely that hell ever develop into a terribly polished scoring threat.
Defensively, Collins has made significant progress and has emerged as one of the ACCs better post defenders. He is still at his best close to the basket, utilizing his strength, above average timing, and low center of gravity to hold his own on the blocks at this level. Collins has continued to work hard on the defensive glass, as well, averaging 7.8 defensive rebounds per 40 minutes pace adjusted. He has gotten better defending big men away from the basket, but his just average lateral quickness will not set him apart at the next level. More perimeter oriented big men have given Collins trouble this season and he must prove to scouts that he will be able to adjust to better competition if he wants to play a role at the next level.
Dwayne Collins has had a solid senior campaign thus far, but he has not yet proven that he can compete against NBA-caliber athletes on a nightly basis. Miamis last game of the season, against Florida State, will allow him the opportunity to match up against Solomon Alabi, Chris Singleton, and Xavier Gibson, three NBA-caliber athletes, and prove that he can produce. From there, the ACC Tournament, the NIT, and the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament will provide Collins additional opportunities to show scouts that he can successfully transition to the next level.
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